mapping quantitative understanding assembling quantitative predictions mapping probable estimations delivering definitive futures computing definitive predictions mapping the future mapping contingent futures assembling calibrated understanding formulating accurate contingencies exploring accurate forecasts mapping contingent understanding crowdsourcing calibrated futures calculating quantitative contingencies mapping precise wisdom

Profile

username davidmanheim
formerly known as
member since January 28, 2016
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 1 (Neophyte) on Metaculus AI Forecasting
8 (Forecaster) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 40 predictions on 24 questions (4 resolved)
comments 31 comments on 19 questions
rank 67th
achievements