calculating intelligent insights exploring precise estimations assembling predictive insights calculating quantitative forecasts crowdsourcing intelligent forecasts mapping the future assembling quantitative understanding computing definitive predictions formulating contingent futures aggregating contingent futures generating accurate contingencies assembling predictive estimations generating accurate predictions formulating probable forecasts


username Bernhard
formerly known as
member since October 20, 2016
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 2 (Guesser) on Metaculus AI Forecasting
13 (Oracle) on Metaculus Prime
predictions 27 predictions on 19 questions (6 resolved)
rank 6th