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AI Fermi Prize Round 4 winners

By jacobklagerros on April 3, 2019, 1:04 p.m. GMT

Round 4 of the AI Fermi Prize closed March 23 at 23:59 GMT. One prizes has been awarded to jotto, for substantially contributing to our mission of tracking and improving the state-of-the-art of forecasts on AI progress.

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AI Fermi Prize Round 3 winners

By jacobklagerros on March 12, 2019, 9:54 a.m. GMT

Round 3 of the AI Fermi Prize closed March 9 at 23:59 GMT. Two prizes have been awarded to commenters who substantially contributed to our mission of tracking and improving the state-of-the-art of forecasts on AI progress.

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AI Fermi Prize Round 2 winners

By jacobklagerros on Feb. 25, 2019, 12:33 p.m. GMT

Round 2 of the AI Fermi Prize closed February 23 at 23:59 GMT. Three prizes have been awarded to commenters who substantially contributed to our mission of tracking and improving the state-of-the-art of forecasts on AI progress.

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AI Fermi Prize Round 1 winners

By jacobklagerros on Feb. 11, 2019, 12:59 p.m. GMT

Round 1 of the AI Fermi Prize closed February 10. Three prizes have been awarded to commenters who substantially contributed to our mission of tracking and improving the state-of-the-art of forecasts on AI progress.

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Weekly forecasting sessions

By jacobklagerros on Jan. 22, 2019, 10:09 p.m. GMT

We’re running weekly online forecasting hangouts, open to Metaculus AI members. These remote sessions are similar to the team meetings run in the Good Judgement Project (which was one of the key ways of boosting performance, in addition to training and aggregation).

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The AI Fermi Prize

By jacobklagerros on Jan. 22, 2019, 10 a.m. GMT

We will be awarding bi-weekly prizes of $400 and $200 to the top two best commenters on the server, in the periods:

Round 1: Until February 9, 23:59 GMT, 2019 Round 1 winners can be found here.

Round 2: From February 10 until February 23, 23:59 GMT Round 2 winners can be found here.

Round 3: From February 24 until March 10, 23:59 GMT Round 3 winners can be found here.

Round 4: From March 10 until March 23, 23:59 GMT Round 4 winners can be found here.

After round 4, the AI Fermi Prize take a brief hiatus. We will likely be back with more prizes in the future, we're just thinking through what shape they should take.

A good commenter is someone who substantially contributes to our mission of tracking and improving the state-of-the-art of forecasts on AI progress.

This might take the shape of a single beacon of good work, or a longer seris of contributions.

Examples of prize-worthy contributions are (note, these have not been updated since the first round, and further examples can be found here)...

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