Question
Facebook Twitter
  • Copy Link
    •
  • Approval
  • Set Reminder
  • Share private question
  • Unsubscribe from question
  • Invite Coauthors
  • Remove myself
  • View Metaculus Prediction
  • {{qctrl.question.communityIsHidden ? 'Show' : 'Hide'}} Community Prediction
    •

    Your submission is now a Draft.

    Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

    You have been invited to co-author this question.

    When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

    Pending

    This question now needs to be approved by community moderators.

    You have been invited to co-author this question.

    It now needs to be approved by community moderators. Thanks for helping!

    Will OpenAI Five win against the reigning Dota 2 world champions OG?

    Created by ghabs and
    co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}
    on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}

    Question

    There is also a version of this question conditional on AGI in <= 20 years, and six other questions related to OpenAI Five

    OpenAI has announced the final live event for OpenAI five will be a series of matches against OG, the reigning world champions. OpenAI Five had previously played against human players at the International, and lost the majority of the matches played.

    Have the past eight months been enough time for them to build a world champion level Dota2 AI?

    Will OpenAI win a majority of the matches played against OG at thee OpenAI Five Finals on April 13th?

    Resolution

    • The total number of matches will be the number of matches played live between OG and OpenAI Five.
    • For the purposes of question resolution OG will be considered the team that is fielded on April 13th - e.g. if for some reason a player is substituted onto the OG roster the team will still be OG.
    Categories:
    Organizational progress – OpenAI

    Make a Prediction

    Prediction

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

    Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.