This question is related to others concerning OpenAI LP, including:
- Whether their expected massive compute increase will be used for safety experiments
- What their valuation will be by end of 2019
On March 12 OpenAI announced that:
We’ve created OpenAI LP, a new “capped-profit” company that allows us to rapidly increase our investments in compute and talent while including checks and balances to actualize our mission.
The goal of this question is to assess the likelihood of whether, by the end of 2019, OpenAI LP will have taken concrete steps towards generating profits as a business.
By the end of 2019 will OpenAI have released details of a for-profit product, service, or partnership?
The specific resolution details are ambiguous and will be judged as best we can to determine if an announcement of a product, service, or partnership counts as part of OpenAI’s “for-profit” initiative. The key determinant is whether we expect OpenAI to have an expectation of profit from the launched business line.
Examples of what would count as a for-profit product/partnership/service:
- Waymo’s partnership with Lyft
- Releasing a free/paid API (ex. Google’s ML Engine API
- DeepMind’s partnership with the NIH
- Note: While the details that have been released indicate that the NIH pays a minimal fee for DeepMinds health app, the reason we would consider a similar example to resolve this question as true is its similarity to other free SaaS applications and it's incorporation within Google as a specific business line.
Examples of what wouldn’t count towards the question resolution:
- Research partnerships (ex. a partnership with a university for research purposes)
- Service provider partnership (ex. Partnership with Microsoft where Microsoft provides Azure compute)