By the end of 2019 will OpenAI have released details of a for-profit product, service, or partnership?

Your submission is now in Draft mode. Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Question

This question is related to others concerning OpenAI LP, including:


On March 12 OpenAI announced that:

We’ve created OpenAI LP, a new “capped-profit” company that allows us to rapidly increase our investments in compute and talent while including checks and balances to actualize our mission.

The goal of this question is to assess the likelihood of whether, by the end of 2019, OpenAI LP will have taken concrete steps towards generating profits as a business.

By the end of 2019 will OpenAI have released details of a for-profit product, service, or partnership?

The specific resolution details are ambiguous and will be judged as best we can to determine if an announcement of a product, service, or partnership counts as part of OpenAI’s “for-profit” initiative. The key determinant is whether we expect OpenAI to have an expectation of profit from the launched business line.

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

This question is not yet open for predictions.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.

Metaculus help: Predicting

Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.

The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available.

The displayed score is split into current points and total points. Current points show how much your prediction is worth now, whereas total points show the combined worth of all of your predictions over the lifetime of the question. The scoring details are available on the FAQ.

Thanks for predicting!

Your prediction has been recorded anonymously.

Want to track your predictions, earn points, and hone your forecasting skills? Create an account today!

Track your predictions
Continue exploring the site