Question
Facebook Twitter
  • Copy Link
    •
  • Approval
  • Set Reminder
  • Share private question
  • Unsubscribe from question
  • Invite Coauthors
  • Remove myself
  • View Metaculus Prediction
  • {{qctrl.question.communityIsHidden ? 'Show' : 'Hide'}} Community Prediction
    •

    Your submission is now a Draft.

    Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

    You have been invited to co-author this question.

    When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

    Pending

    This question now needs to be approved by community moderators.

    You have been invited to co-author this question.

    It now needs to be approved by community moderators. Thanks for helping!

    What will be the number of attendees at NeurIPS 2019?

    Created by jacobklagerros and
    co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}
    on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}

    Question

    This question is related to the 2019 ICML and CVPR conference attendance question, however ICML and CVPR occur together in June, so we split them into their own question instead of delaying resolution until NeurIPS in December.

    As reported by the AI Index (p. 26 of the 2018 report), the number of attendees at major machine learning conferences has grown exponentially since the start of the ML revolution in 2011.

    As of 2018, the three largest conferences are Neural Information-Processing Systems (NeurIPS), International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) and Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR).

    NeurIPS 2019 takes place in Vancouver in December. ICML 2019 and CVPR 2019 take place back-to-back in Long Beach, CA, in June.

    Now we ask:

    What will be the number of attendees at NeurIPS 2019?

    Resolution

    Resolution will be determined by an attempt to get attendee estimates directly from conference organisers (as done by the AI Index), or by a credible report of such an estimate from the organisers.

    Note also that 1) the data is based on estimates from the conference organisers, and not actual counts (hence why NeurIPS 2018 data is exactly "8000"); 2) due to constraints imposed by things like the size of venues, tail-end attendance figures might be a poor proxy for demand.

    Data

    Underlying data on conference attendees going back to the 1980’s can be found in this spreadsheet.

    Most recent values have been:

    2018: 8000

    2017: 7755

    2016: 5230

    Categories:
    Other question collections – AI Index
    Other sociological, economic, geopolitical questions – Conference attendance

    Make a Prediction

    Prediction

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

    Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.