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    By end of 2019, how many "milestone papers" will OpenAI have released?

    Created by jacobklagerros on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}.
    Community prediction hidden until {{qctrl.question.cp_hidden_period_ends_time | dateStr}}
    Published by jacobklagerros on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}.

    Question

    This question is related to others measuring research progress, including: how many papers DeepMind will have published by mid-2019

    By Jan 1, 2020, how many "milestone releases" will be listed on OpenAI's progress page?

    Data

    This spreadsheet contains graphs, summary stats and a bibliography of past papers and milestone papers.

    The most recent milestone releases were the powerful language model GPT-2 (Feb 2019), their findings on optimal batch sizes (Dec 2018), and the Dactyl robotics system (July 2018).

    By year, we have the following milestone counts:

    2019: 1 (as of April 4)

    2018: 6

    2017: 9

    2016: 1

    In the same period, they published 76 ordinary papers, and even more blog posts.

    Categories:
    Organizational progress – OpenAI
    Other sociological, economic, geopolitical questions – Publication statistics

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