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By end of 2019, how many "milestone papers" will OpenAI have released?

Question

This question is related to others measuring research progress, including: how many papers DeepMind will have published by mid-2019


By Jan 1, 2020, how many "milestone releases" will be listed on OpenAI's progress page?


Data

This spreadsheet contains graphs, summary stats and a bibliography of past papers and milestone papers.

The most recent milestone releases were the powerful language model GPT-2 (Feb 2019), their findings on optimal batch sizes (Dec 2018), and the Dactyl robotics system (July 2018).

By year, we have the following milestone counts:

2019: 1 (as of April 4)

2018: 6

2017: 9

2016: 1

In the same period, they published 76 ordinary papers, and even more blog posts.

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