Metaculus

Forecasting AI
Question
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Image
    •

    • Your submission is now a Draft.

    Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

    You have been invited to co-author this question.

    When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

    Pending

    This question now needs to be reviewed by Community Moderators.

    We have high standards for question quality. We also favor questions on our core topic areas or that we otherwise judge valuable. We may not publish questions that are not a good fit.

    If your question has not received attention within a week, or is otherwise pressing, you may request review by tagging @moderators in a comment.

    You have been invited to co-author this question.

    It now needs to be approved by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

    {{qctrl.question.title}}

    ()
    {{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions
    {{ qctrl.question.resolutionString() }}
    {{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions
    My score: {{qctrl.question.player_log_score | logScorePrecision}}

    Make a Prediction

    Prediction

    Created by: Tamay and
    co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}

    Categories: Economy – Economic Transition — Finance — AGI – Market response — Other sociological, economic, geopolitical questions
    Cross-posted on Metaculus.