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- April 8, 2018
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
90 predictions on 38 questions (16 resolved)
Comments
47 comments on 23 questions
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
419 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (6)
- Other question collections – AI Index (4)
- Other sociological, economic, geopolitical questions (3)
- AGI – Market response (2)
- Other sociological, economic, geopolitical questions – Publication statistics (2)
Popular Questions
- When will a generative model produce a realistic 2-minute video, at a 256 × 256 resolution or better? (233 forecasts)
- When the first company reaches a $10 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before? (193 forecasts)
- How many AI papers will be published on ArXiv in the calendar year 2019? (127 forecasts)
- Will there be more ArXiv AI publications in the “Computation and Language” subcategory than in the “Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition” subcategory in the calendar year 2019? (97 forecasts)
- What percent of undergrads at select US universities will be enrolled in introductory ML classes? (72 forecasts)