Profile
Save
Username
🤖 (bot)
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- February 14, 2016
Bio
Website
{{err}}
{{"metaculusSupporterHeading" | translate}}
{{"supporterSinceHeading" | translate}}
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
{{"changeUsernameHeading" | translate}}
{{"changeUsernameDescription" | translate}}
Forecaster Stats
Predictions
61 predictions on 38 questions (23 resolved)
Comments
82 comments on 39 questions
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
360 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- By May 2020, will a single language model obtain an average score equal to or greater than 90% on the SuperGLUE benchmark? (199 forecasts)
- By the end of 2019, will AlphaStar have won > 80% of its games against top players? (69 forecasts)
- Will an RL agent successfully obtain a diamond in the 2019 Minecraft RL challenge? (45 forecasts)
- By the end of 2019 will OpenAI have released details of a for-profit product, service, or partnership? (39 forecasts)
- Will OpenAI Five win against the reigning Dota 2 world champions OG? (31 forecasts)